Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.374642 15.637920 18.108954 20.999449 24.279793 27.878654 32.117269
2025-04-27 10.216412 13.466789 17.381815 22.404860 28.634387 36.059386 45.526936
2025-05-04 8.050763 11.687319 16.421899 22.945571 31.594724 42.550753 57.341280
2025-05-11 6.415994 10.132057 15.305071 22.874268 33.478150 47.589495 67.526615
2025-05-18 5.144434 8.777206 14.150910 22.446105 34.641514 51.575847 76.445616
2025-05-25 4.172586 7.656313 13.108880 21.948033 35.520133 55.091502 84.827419
2025-06-01 3.412575 6.714091 12.165557 21.416001 36.198935 58.260889 92.821269
2025-06-08 2.709603 5.724456 10.978891 20.309362 35.816586 59.742868 98.340287
2025-06-15 2.453468 5.488146 11.008962 21.167722 38.572172 66.119796 111.561872
2025-06-22 2.171825 5.147476 10.798873 21.571370 40.585393 71.436833 123.437236
2025-06-29 1.832720 4.623486 10.172959 21.152467 41.144240 74.426242 131.779548
2025-07-06 1.502104 4.047773 9.358960 20.278817 40.803795 75.873520 137.667348
2025-07-13 1.390683 3.963326 9.551842 21.414581 44.301834 84.245715 155.908040
2025-07-20 1.295831 3.905572 9.805782 22.727998 48.299647 93.849801 176.994055
2025-07-27 1.149036 3.685368 9.677281 23.254575 50.867281 101.140636 194.608442
2025-08-03 0.982816 3.371489 9.286072 23.178771 52.252873 106.402519 209.004469
2025-08-10 0.822271 3.028079 8.763994 22.745047 52.869589 110.278335 221.147812
2025-08-17 0.684729 2.710689 8.245199 22.241135 53.275706 113.759368 232.747111
2025-08-24 0.568445 2.422327 7.744089 21.702946 53.540860 116.961624 243.984148
2025-08-31 0.449761 2.083761 7.042005 20.583471 52.437261 117.412882 250.089793
2025-09-07 0.417474 2.041557 7.147344 21.451792 55.756052 126.768986 273.516571
2025-09-14 0.373979 1.943234 7.074640 21.860105 58.074009 134.251017 293.719918
2025-09-21 0.313553 1.755272 6.700124 21.436361 58.447964 137.793329 306.445288